Vol. 9, Special Issue 2 (2024)

Author(s): Bharat Kumar Marmat, Mohan Kumar TL, Prathima CM, N Marappa, TM Ningaraju and Shankar BP

Abstract: The present study focuses on the estimation of Simple Growth Rate (SGR) and Compound Growth Rate (CGR) for the data on milk production and its per capita availability by fitting linear and exponential functions at all India data for the period of 60 years (1961-62 to 2020-21) and State-wise for the period of 30 years (1991-92 to 2020-21). The highest average milk production (163.76 million tonnes) was found during the last decades Period-VI (2011-12 to 2020-21). The highest average per capita availability of milk (351.20 grams per day) was found during the last decade i.e. Period-VI (2011-12 to 2020-21) which is higher than the recommended level of per capita available. The CGR percent in production of milk in India from 1961-62 to 2020-21 was found to be 4.32%. The highest CGR percent in the production of milk was observed during the same Period-VI (5.90%). The CGR percent of per capita availability of milk in India from 1961-62 to 2020-21 was found to be 2.34%. The highest CGR percent in per capita availability of milk was observed during the Period-VI (4.57%). Thus, the growth rate of milk production and per capita availability of milk has significantly increased during the last 60 years. The highest SGR and CGR in milk production were found to be 6.12 and 6.45%, respectively in Rajasthan, followed by Tripura at 5.59 and 6.29% and Andhra Pradesh at the rate of 5.41 and 6.28% respectively. The lowest SGR and CGR in milk production were found in Manipur at 0.17 and 0.21%, followed by Kerala at 0.78 and 0.81% respectively. All the states of India have shown positive growth rates (both SGR & CGR) in milk production indicating that milk production in India has increased production and an upward trend. Similarly, the highest and most significant positive SGR and CGR in per capita availability of milk were found to be 6.51 and 6.73%, respectively in Andhra Pradesh followed by Telangana at 4.89 and 5.04% and Tripura at the rate of 4.56 and 5.01% respectively. The highest decline in the per capita availability of milk was found in Manipur at the rate of 3.72% of SGR and 0.95% of CGR followed by Assam at the rate of 0.45 and 0.43%. All the states of India have shown positive growth rates (both SGR & CGR) in the per capita availability of milk except Manipur, Assam, and Meghalaya, which have a negative growth rate in the per capita availability of milk.